fintech디지털투데이 (DigitalToday)· 7/4/2026, 10:57:33 AM7.0

Bitcoin's Realized Profit/Loss Ratio Hits 43-Month Low, Raising Concerns About a Potential Bottom

Bitcoin's realized profit/loss ratio plummeted to -0.35, its lowest level in 43 months, according to CryptQuant, which noted this indicates extreme market losses. Historically, such levels have coincided with Bitcoin bottoms, with the ratio reaching -0.35 last December after the FTX collapse. Similar patterns occurred in 2015 and 2019, followed by Bitcoin rebounds. While investor sentiment remained subdued during a 50% pullback from October's 126,080-dollar peak, recent recovery has seen Bitcoin rise over 7% since June 25. Market analysts pointed to strategic positioning, as the leveraged 'Strategi' perpetuals fell below 75 dollars, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. Bitwise CIO Matt Hoag suggested the 'Strategi' event may have pushed Bitcoin closer to a low, while analyst Adam Livingston noted Bitcoin trades 16% above its realized price, aligning with historical 41% and 81% returns over 6 and 12 months.

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